Back to list


Lauren Seaby

Project title:

Uncertainty in Hydrological Change Modelling

Enrolled at:

Department of Geography and Geology, University of Copenhagen

Start and end date:

16/09/2009 - 15/09/2012


Øster Voldgade 10, 1350 Copenhagen K


+45 3814 2784




Karsten Høgh Jensen, Jens Christian Refsgaard, Torben O. Sonnenborg

Source of funding:


International collaboration:

Description of research:

The objective of this project is to assess the uncertainties related to the prediction of climate change effects on water resources at a local scale, considering all sources of uncertainty such as climate scenarios, model structure, model parameters and adaptation scenarios. The significance of results on hydrological change will be evaluated by quantifying the uncertainty on both the climate model results and the error propagation through the hydrological model.


Tague, C., Seaby, L., and Hope, A., (2009). Modeling the eco-hydrologic response of a Mediterranean type ecosystem to the combined impacts of projected climate change and altered fire frequencies. Journal of Climatic Change (93):137-155

Seaby, L., Tague, C., and Hope, A. (2006) Post-fire recovery of eco-hydrologic behavior given historic and projected climate variability in California Mediterranean type ecosystems. Eos Trans. AGU, 87(52) Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract H13B-1398

Tague, C., Grant, G., Seaby, L., and Farrell, M. (2006) Disentangling multiple controls on the response of summer streamflow to climate forcing for the mountainous Western US. Eos Trans. AGU, 87(52) Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract GC32A-05

Seaby, L., Tague, C., and Hope, A. (2006) Modeling the eco-hydrologic response of post- fire vegetation recovery trajectories to climate change in a California Mediterranean type ecosystem. In Proc. 21st Annual Symposium of the United States Regional Chapter of the International Association for Landscape Ecology (US-IALE), San Diego, California, U.S.A.

Tague, C., Hope, A., and Seaby, L., (2005). Modeling eco-hydrologic interactions in fire-prone
Mediterranean type environments. Final Report NASA Land Use / Land Cover Change Program Grant No. NAG5-11141 (in prep. for submission to Forest Ecology and Management)

Clark, R. and Seaby, L. (2004) Optimal Interpolation and Isarithmic Mapping of Volumetric Soil Moisture: A Case Study Near Point Barrow, Alaska. ESRI International User Conference, August 9-12, San Diego, California, U.S.A.

Research School of Water Resources © 2005 Design by